⚡ Tabutility

How Long Will Your Student Loan Actually Last? We Modelled Every Salary and Plan

Published 14 August 2026 · Original data analysis · 9 min read

A UK student loan isn't really a loan — it works more like a graduate tax with an expiry date. You repay 9% of everything you earn above a threshold, and whatever's left after 25, 30 or 40 years simply vanishes. That design produces some genuinely strange outcomes: a graduate on £35,000 can repay £67,861 on a £45,000 loan and still have £40,197 written off.

So we built a year-by-year repayment simulator and ran it for every plan — Plan 1, Plan 2, Plan 4 and Plan 5 — across starting salaries from £25,000 to £100,000. Here's how long your loan actually lasts, what you'll really repay, and the salary you need to ever clear it.

Our assumptions: 2025/26 repayment thresholds (Plan 1: £26,065 · Plan 2: £28,470 · Plan 4: £32,745 · Plan 5: £25,000), 9% repayment above threshold, current 2025/26 interest rates held constant (3.2% for Plans 1/4/5; 3.2%–6.2% income-sliding for Plan 2), salary, repayment thresholds and Plan 2's interest-rate income band all growing 3% a year. Typical balances at graduation: £20,000 (Plan 1), £48,000 (Plan 2), £25,000 (Plan 4), £45,000 (Plan 5).

Plan 2 (Started Uni 2012–2022): Most People Never Finish Paying

Plan 2 is the plan most current repayers are on — and the one with the harshest arithmetic. With a typical £48,000 balance and interest running up to 6.2%, repayments at ordinary salaries never outrun the interest:

Starting salaryRepayment /mo (yr 1)How long it lastsTotal repaidWritten off at 30y
£30,000£11Full 30 years£6,551£120,628
£35,000£49Full 30 years£27,960£110,018
£40,000£86Full 30 years£49,369£97,197
£45,000£124Full 30 years£70,778£81,730
£50,000£161Full 30 years£92,187£63,102
£60,000£236Cleared in 26 years£106,288
£70,000£311Cleared in 18 years£83,200
£80,000£386Cleared in 14 years£73,453
£100,000£536Cleared in 9 years£64,674

The headline finding: in our model you need a starting salary of roughly £57,000 to ever clear a typical Plan 2 loan. Below that, it's a 30-year payroll deduction followed by a write-off. And notice the perverse peak: the £60,000 earner repays £106,288 — more than anyone else on the table — because they only just outrun the interest, clearing the loan in year 26 after paying 2.2× what they borrowed.

Plan 5 (Started Uni 2023+): Smaller Bills, Forty-Year Sentence

Plan 5 cut the interest rate (RPI only, no added percentage) but dropped the threshold to £25,000 and stretched the write-off to 40 years. The result: more graduates repay for most of their working life.

Starting salaryRepayment /mo (yr 1)How long it lastsTotal repaidWritten off at 40y
£30,000£38Full 40 years£33,931£99,416
£35,000£75Full 40 years£67,861£40,197
£40,000£113Cleared in 36 years£83,774
£45,000£150Cleared in 27 years£71,111
£50,000£188Cleared in 22 years£64,705
£60,000£263Cleared in 15 years£58,316
£70,000£338Cleared in 12 years£55,151
£100,000£563Cleared in 7 years£51,074

On a £40,000 salary you repay £83,774 on a £45,000 loan — 1.9× what you borrowed — and it takes 36 years to clear. The break-even starting salary to ever clear a typical Plan 5 balance is about £38,500.

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Plan 1 and Plan 4: The Forgiving Ones

Older Plan 1 loans (and Scotland's Plan 4) carry smaller balances and lower interest, so they behave much more like normal loans:

Starting salaryPlan 1 (£20k debt, 25y)Plan 1 total repaidPlan 4 (£25k debt, 30y)Plan 4 total repaid
£35,000Written off (£2,123 left)£29,319Written off (£49,558 left)£9,655
£40,000Cleared in 17 years£26,708Written off (£16,833 left)£31,064
£45,000Cleared in 13 years£24,779Cleared in 24 years£37,787
£50,000Cleared in 10 years£23,746Cleared in 17 years£33,472
£60,000Cleared in 7 years£22,659Cleared in 11 years£30,153
£80,000Cleared in 5 years£21,760Cleared in 7 years£28,000

Break-even starting salaries: about £35,500 for Plan 1 and £43,000 for Plan 4 (the Scottish threshold is higher, so low earners repay very little — but the debt compounds while they don't).

The Salary You Need to Ever Pay It Off

PlanTypical balanceWrite-off horizonStarting salary needed to clear
Plan 1£20,00025 years~£35,500
Plan 5£45,00040 years~£38,500
Plan 4£25,00030 years~£43,000
Plan 2£48,00030 years~£57,000
Practical takeaway: if your salary path sits below your plan's break-even line, voluntary overpayments are usually wasted money — you'd be repaying debt that was destined to be written off anyway. If you're comfortably above it, overpaying early can cut years of interest. Run your own numbers before sending the Student Loans Company a penny extra.

Three Things the Model Makes Obvious

  1. Middle earners pay the most. On Plan 2, the £60,000 starter repays £106,288 — over 60% more than the £100,000 starter (£64,674). High earners escape the interest quickly; low earners barely pay; the middle carries the system.
  2. The plan you're on matters more than the amount you borrowed. A £45,000 Plan 5 loan on £40,000 costs £83,774 over 36 years; a £48,000 Plan 2 loan on the same salary costs £49,369 and is then written off — because Plan 2's write-off arrives ten years sooner.
  3. "Debt" is the wrong mental model. For most graduates the balance is irrelevant — what matters is 9% of income above the threshold, for 25–40 years. Budget for the deduction, not the headline number.

Method Notes

All figures computed by Tabutility, August 2026, using a year-by-year simulation. Repayment thresholds are the published 2025/26 figures: Plan 1 £26,065, Plan 2 £28,470, Plan 4 £32,745, Plan 5 £25,000; repayments are 9% of income above threshold. Interest: 3.2% for Plans 1, 4 and 5; Plan 2 slides from 3.2% at the threshold to 6.2% at £51,245+ (published 2025/26 rates, held constant). Salaries, repayment thresholds and the endpoints of Plan 2's interest-rate income band (£28,470–£51,245) are all assumed to grow 3% a year, so results are effectively in today's-money terms. Write-off horizons assume the post-September-2006 Plan 1 rules (25 years) and post-2007 Plan 4 rules (30 years); pre-September-2006 Plan 1 loans are instead cancelled at age 65, and pre-2007 Scottish (Plan 4) loans at age 65 or 30 years, whichever comes first — cohorts our tables don't model. Typical balances reflect common amounts at graduation; your own balance, salary path and future rate changes will move the numbers. This analysis shows how the system's mechanics play out — it is not financial advice. You're free to cite or reproduce these tables with a link to this page.

FAQs

Will I ever pay off my Plan 2 student loan?

Only if you earn well above average — our model puts the break-even starting salary around £57,000 for a typical £48,000 balance. Below that, expect 30 years of deductions and a write-off.

How much of my salary goes to repayments?

9% of everything above your plan's threshold (6% for Postgraduate Loans). On £35,000 that's roughly £49/month on Plan 2 or £75/month on Plan 5.

When is my student loan written off?

For loans taken out from September 2006: 25 years for Plan 1, 30 years for Plans 2 and 4, 40 years for Plan 5 — counted from the April you first became liable to repay. Older loans have different rules: pre-September-2006 Plan 1 loans are cancelled when you turn 65, and pre-2007 Scottish (Plan 4) loans are cancelled at age 65 or 30 years after the April you were first due to repay, whichever comes first.

Is it worth paying off a student loan early?

Only if you'd clear it anyway. If your salary path leads to write-off, overpayments repay money you'd never have owed. High earners who'll clear the loan fast can save real interest.

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